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October 14, 2005

SPX from the TD Trader Daily Swing

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On the daily chart, the triangle support break and move below 1200 rule the roost. The index has become oversold and shows signs of firmness with a doji yesterday. This could lead to an oversold bounce back to broken support around 1200-1210.

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The 60 minute chart echoes the sentiments of the daily chart. The index declined over 60 points without a bounce and is ripe for a retracement or a consolidation. For potential upside targets, I am looking at broken support the normal retracements (38%, 50% and 62%). A 50% retracement of the October decline would extend to around 1203. In addition, there is support between 1200 and 1210 from the September lows. Together, these make for a resistance zone around 1200-1210 and I would expect a rally to fail in this area.

In the TD Trader Daily Swing commentary (click here), I have been short-term bearish since 5-Oct (1209 SPX)

Posted by Arthur B. Hill at October 14, 2005 04:37 AM

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